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UTXO Nakamoto Company
Digital Credit Monthly September 2026
Digital Credit Monthly · Issue 01 UTXO Management Research
September 1, 2026

Digital Credit Monthly.

August saw STRC recover to within 3% of its $100 stated amount, Strategy's cash position grow to roughly equal its converts, and a Bitcoin rally support the credit of every preferred in the complex.

−3%
STRC discount to the $100 stated amount
12.0%
STRC dividend rate, maintained for periods from Sep 16
Sep 15
Record date, all four preferreds; paid Sep 30
$6.71B
Reserve and cash vs. $6.71B of converts, fully covered
Author
Portrait of Dan Hillery
Dan Hillery
VP of Credit
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[ As of ]

Market prices as of the August 28, 2026 close; Strategy balance-sheet figures as of August 30, 2026 per the August 31, 2026 8-K.

[ Conflicts of interest ]

UTXO Management GP, LLC and funds it manages hold positions in STRC and in other securities discussed, and the firm's compensation is affected by the performance and dividend rate of those securities. For UTXO Preferred Income Strategies LP, the Applicable Preferred Return Rate for Senior Class interests is determined by the General Partner with reference to, among other factors, the trailing twelve-month dividend yield on STRC; views expressed here regarding the STRC dividend rate therefore relate to a reference rate used in that fund's economics. This material is not investment advice and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. See full disclosures →

In this issue

Strategy spent the month converting balance sheet flexibility into credit quality, and the pref market repriced accordingly.

01 · Balance sheet

Strategy's balance sheet and credit quality.

Cash reserve building: a solution to convert retirement

STRC's major selloff in June was catalyzed by Strategy using a portion of their cash reserve to retire convertible debt. The market's reaction to the reduction of cash was very negative, with the prefs trading off significantly. To rectify the situation, Strategy began building cash for their USD reserve and USD cash. The result was that the prefs recovered. The cash position is now almost equal to the total converts outstanding on their balance sheet. The securities discussed in this report are perpetual preferred equity of Strategy Inc.; they carry no maturity, no holder redemption right, and rank junior to Strategy's convertible notes.

Short-term drag for long-term strength of credit

Saylor has repeatedly mentioned that they are prioritizing the credit in the short term in order to maximize common shareholder equity in the long term. The cash acts like a drag on the performance of the common, or de-amplification. In strict terms, the cash reduces the Bitcoin per share for common MSTR. We believe, however, that the net effect of holding extra cash in order to return STRC to its stated amount will be beneficial to MSTR. In order to continue issuing STRC and increasing amplification during Bitcoin bull markets, STRC's credit quality must remain strong, and that is what the cash is providing.

Figure 1.1 · Coverage down the preferred stack
Bitcoin NAV per dollar of cumulative preferred and convert claims
Gross vs netted basis · August 30, 2026
Gross (full $6.71B of converts ahead) Netted (reserve and cash applied to converts)
14x10.5x7x3.5x0x
5.6x
12.9x
STRF
most senior of the preferreds
claims thru $5.10B
4.4x
8.1x
STRC
second in line
claims thru $8.12B
3.5x
5.5x
STRK
third in line
claims thru $11.90B
3.0x
4.3x
STRD
most junior
claims thru $15.35B
845,050 BTC at $77,830 gives $65.8B of Bitcoin NAV. Converts $6.71B less reserve $5.10B less cash $1.61B leaves ~$0.0B of net converts. BTC, reserve, and cash as of August 30, 2026. Preferreds total $15.35B per the June 30, 2026 10-Q (STRF $5.10B, coincidentally equal to the USD reserve; STRC $3.02B; STRK $3.78B; STRD $3.45B) and do not reflect STRC repurchased since quarter-end; coverage on STRC and below is therefore understated. Strategy's convertible notes are senior to all preferred series. Source: Strategy 8-K dated August 31, 2026, 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, strategy.com/credit, and Bitcoin at the August 28, 2026 close via Yahoo Finance. This analysis divides Bitcoin NAV by the stated amount of claims and excludes operating liabilities, any tax on unrealized Bitcoin gains, and market impact from liquidating Bitcoin. The preferred series are perpetual equity with no maturity or liquidation test; STRD dividends are non-cumulative. The ratios are a descriptive measure, not a measure of any legal claim on Bitcoin.
STRD, gross basis
Bitcoin NAV ÷ cumulative claims
Aug 28 close
$77,830
3.0x
Trailing 30-day average
close $68,218
2.6x
30% below Aug 28
close $54,481
2.1x

Reading down the stack, STRF has Bitcoin NAV of 12.9x its cumulative claims on the netted basis; Bitcoin NAV equals those claims at a BTC price of roughly $6,034. STRC, second in line, has 8.1x, with NAV equal to claims at roughly $9,613. STRK has 5.5x, equal at roughly $14,091, and STRD, the most junior, 4.3x, equal at roughly $18,172. The gross column, which puts the full $6.71B of converts ahead of the preferreds, is the baseline. The netted column assumes the USD Reserve and cash are applied against the converts; because Strategy holds the reserve to fund preferred dividends and debt service, the same dollars cannot do both jobs, so the netted figures should be read as an upper bound rather than a base case.

02 · Buybacks

August STRC buybacks and trading behavior.

No sales in August

Strategy did not sell STRC through its ATM in August. (Strategy did sell 4.53M shares of MSTR common stock via ATM during the Aug 24 to 30 week, unrelated to the STRC program: proceeds funded that week's BTC purchase, STRC buybacks, and STRC dividends.)

Execution of buybacks was able to get the price out of lower trading ranges

As we noted in our recent research piece, Buried in Collateral (August 2026), in our view the buyback has helped move STRC back toward its stated amount of $100. The reserve fell to $871M following May's convertible-note repurchase. STRC closed at $74.57 on June 26 and recovered to $97.33 on August 28. The chart pairs selected closes with dated reserve disclosures; it shows the recovery alongside reserve rebuilding, without attributing the price move to any single cause. STRC repurchases began during the July 20 to 26 week.

Figure 2.1 · Reserve rebuilding and STRC recovery
Reserve rebuilding and STRC recovery
Selected observations · May to August 2026
STRC close (left)Disclosed USD reserve (right, points only)
Scroll chart →
$70$0B $80$2B $90$4B $100$6B 2026-06-26: $74.57 2026-07-02: $87.87 2026-07-10: $87.48 2026-07-17: $85.29 2026-07-24: $86.89 2026-07-31: $89.46 2026-08-07: $95.01 2026-08-14: $94.78 2026-08-21: $96.18 2026-08-28: $97.33 2026-05-25: $0.871B reserve05/25 $0.871B 2026-06-28: $2.55B reserve06/28 $2.55B 2026-07-26: $3.75B reserve07/26 $3.75B 2026-08-09: $4.65B reserve08/09 $4.65B 2026-08-30: $5.1B reserve08/30 $5.10B Jun 26: $74.57 Aug 28: $97.33 May 25 Jun 15 Jul 1 Jul 15 Aug 1 Aug 15 Aug 30
Left axis truncated at $70; reserve axis starts at zero.UTXO Management research
Selected unadjusted closing prices; connecting lines are not the full daily price path. Reserve dots use balance-sheet dates, not announcement dates, and do not imply unchanged balances between disclosures. Price cutoff: August 28; final reserve: August 30, disclosed August 31. Sources: Stock Analysis / S&P Global, Fund Library (June 26 close); Strategy disclosures May 26, June 29, July 27, August 10, August 31.

The recovery is more legible when distributions are included. One share bought at the $90 IPO price was worth $97.33 on August 28, 2026, an 8.1% price gain. Adding $11.42 in distributions already paid and a $0.50 dividend receivable brings combined value to $109.25, a 21.4% total return without reinvestment, before taxes and transaction costs. The receivable was payable August 31, after the chart cutoff. Distributions contributed more than the price gain. Strategy has stated it expects recent STRC dividends to be characterized as return of capital to the extent of a holder's basis; that treatment defers rather than eliminates tax, and after-tax results will differ by holder.

Figure 2.2 · STRC since IPO: price and distributions
One $90 IPO share, valued on August 28, 2026
No reinvestment · share value plus cash distributions and dividend receivable
Share valueCash distributions paidDividend receivable
Scroll chart →
IPO cost$90.00 Share value: +8.14% price return$97.33 Combined value: +21.4% total return $109.25 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120
Paid $11.42 + receivable $0.50 per original share.UTXO Management research
From the July 29, 2025 IPO settlement through August 28, 2026. Fourteen distributions paid ($11.42 per share) and one $0.50 entitlement, ex-dividend August 14 and payable August 31. Combined value includes the unpaid receivable; no dividend reinvestment is assumed. Sources: closing price, distribution schedule, Strategy IPO disclosure. Calculations use unrounded distributions; displayed values are rounded. Performance shown is that of STRC, a third-party security, not UTXO Management or any fund it manages. Pre-tax; excludes transaction costs.

Buybacks on the other prefs would be accretive at a discount, but volumes are too thin

When looking across the whole suite of instruments, there has been discussion of buybacks for the other fixed-rate prefs trading below their stated amounts. Strategy stated that returning STRC to its stated amount was their main concern; as STRC approaches that objective, it is possible they begin buying back other prefs.

Once again, we highlight the fact that if Strategy were to begin buying back STRK or STRD or STRF, the trading volumes are so low that buybacks would cause volatile moves in these securities. Accretion at a discount is real, but so is the volatility a size buyer introduces into a thin book.

03 · The month ahead

Ex-dividend dates and preferred pricing.

Strategy maintained the STRC rate at 12.00% for semi-monthly periods commencing September 16 and has stated that management does not intend to recommend a change until STRC demonstrates sustained trading at or near its $100 stated amount. We do not expect a change in the near term. The rate is set monthly and may be adjusted at Strategy's discretion.

Our core holding remains STRC, Strategy's variable-rate preferred, selected for its senior position in the capital structure relative to Strategy's other preferred and common equity, its compounding-dividend protection during any period of arrears, and restrictions preventing dividends or repurchases on junior securities while the position remains current.

Looking toward diversification, we continue to evaluate additional digital-credit preferred issuance, including Strive's SATA, as liquidity in the space develops.

On August 31 Strategy's board declared quarterly dividends on STRF, STRK, and STRD and a semi-monthly dividend on STRC, each payable September 30 to holders of record September 15. A second STRC semi-monthly dividend is payable October 15 to holders of record September 30. With T+1 settlement the ex-dividend date coincides with the record date, so September 15 is the shared date across the complex, and STRC trades ex again on September 30.

Under its prospectus, each share of STRK is convertible into 0.10 shares of MSTR class A common stock, an initial conversion price of $1,000 per MSTR share against its $100 stated amount. With MSTR trading far below that conversion price, STRK's as-converted value is a small fraction of its market price, meaning the position today is compensated almost entirely through its coupon rather than embedded equity optionality. We do not view it as an arbitrage opportunity at current levels.

04 · Macro

Bitcoin and macro market outlook.

Liquidity facility, the US government, and what the buyback program actually is

Treasury's regular buyback program serves a different purpose than the program of the early 2000s. The 2000 to 2002 program retired $67.5B across 45 operations during the surplus era. From May 29, 2024 through August 25, 2026, the current program accepted $451.547B (approximately $452B) across 154 operations with published results, excluding small-value tests. Its purpose is liquidity support and cash management, not net debt reduction. On September 9, the maximum size of long-end liquidity-support operations rises from $2B to at least $4B per operation.

Figure 4.1 · U.S. Treasury buybacks, two programs, two purposes
Treasury buybacks by calendar quarter
Par accepted, $B · common scale · through August 25, 2026
Surplus-era retirementLiquidity supportCash management
Scroll chart →
2000 to 2002: $67.5B / 45 operations 2024 to 2026: $451.547B / 154 operations Surplus-era programLiquidity support and cash management 0 20 40 60 80 1002000 Q1: $2B retiredQ1 2000 Q2: $13B retiredQ2 2000 Q3: $7.25B retiredQ3 2000 Q4: $7.75B retiredQ4 2001 Q1: $9B retiredQ1 2001 Q2: $10B retiredQ2 2001 Q3: $6B retiredQ3 2001 Q4: $8.5B retiredQ4 2002 Q1: $0B retiredQ1 2002 Q2: $4B retiredQ22000 2001 2002 0 20 40 60 80 1002024 Q2: $8.364B liquidity2024 Q2: $0B cashQ2 2024 Q3: $16.11B liquidity2024 Q3: $20B cashQ3 2024 Q4: $20.159B liquidity2024 Q4: $18.729B cashQ4 2025 Q1: $25.082B liquidity2025 Q1: $25.5B cashQ1 2025 Q2: $20.734B liquidity2025 Q2: $48.439B cashQ2 2025 Q3: $25.149B liquidity2025 Q3: $0B cashQ3 2025 Q4: $25.878B liquidity2025 Q4: $25B cashQ4 2026 Q1: $28.899B liquidity2026 Q1: $29.697B cashQ1 2026 Q2: $22.478B liquidity2026 Q2: $69.578B cashQ2 2026 Q3: $21.751B liquidity2026 Q3: $0B cashQ3*2024 2025 2026
* Q3 2026 through August 25; partial quarter.September 9: long-end maximum size rises to at least $4B per operation.
Par accepted by calendar quarter, not announced capacity or purchase cost. The modern series includes 154 liquidity-support and cash-management operations with published results from May 29, 2024 through August 25, 2026, including one zero-acceptance operation; it excludes three small-value tests and two records without published results. Modern accepted par totals $451.547B (approximately $452B). Sources: TreasuryDirect historical operation results, Treasury Fiscal Data operation results, and Treasury's August 19 announcement. Both programs retire purchased securities; the modern program's purpose is liquidity support and cash management, not net debt reduction.

Trading ranges for the 10 and 30 year yields

The 30 year Treasury par yield sits at 5.22% and the 10 year at 4.73%, both near the top of their five year ranges. Long-term money is expensive. That is the backdrop against which mortgage rates have stayed elevated, and against which any fixed-rate pref has to be judged.

Figure 4.2 · 10-year and 30-year Treasury par yields
10-year and 30-year Treasury par yields
Daily observations · August 28, 2021 to August 28, 2026
30-year · 5.22% 10-year · 4.73%
Scroll chart →
5.5% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 5.22% 4.73% Aug 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 Aug 2026
Range highs: 30-year 5.31%, 10-year 4.98%.UTXO Management research · Source: U.S. Treasury.
As of August 28, 2026. All 1,249 available daily observations in the five-year window; the first is August 30, 2021, as August 28 was a Saturday. Observed ranges: 30-year 1.69% to 5.31%; 10-year 1.28% to 4.98%. Treasury par yields are indicative rates derived from the daily par yield curve, not transaction closing prices. Source: U.S. Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates.

Against that, STRF at a 10% rate on $5.10B of claims actually has a reasonable yield for the seniority it carries. The comparison worth making is not pref against pref, it is pref against the long end of the curve, and on that basis the senior digital credit instruments are still compensating well for the duration and the credit an allocator takes on.

BTC relative to the 200-week and the golden cross: prefs are liquidity pumps into Bitcoin

BTC's rally through August pulled it further above its 200-week moving average, and the shorter-term averages have crossed above the longer-term ones. Both are trend-following signals rather than predictive ones, but they matter here for a structural reason: coverage on every pref in the complex is a direct function of BTC NAV, so a sustained move higher widens the cushion under all four securities at once.

The loop

The prefs are also a liquidity pump into Bitcoin. Every dollar raised in preferred issuance at or near the stated amount converts into BTC on the asset side, and the ability to keep issuing depends on the securities trading near the stated amount. This remains one of the most important ongoing catalysts of the year: pricing near the stated amount enables issuance, issuance buys BTC, and BTC NAV supports the coverage that justifies that pricing.

The loop also runs in reverse. When the preferreds trade well below their stated amounts, issuance stalls, Bitcoin accumulation slows, and the cushion stops growing; May's reserve drawdown and the June price break are the recent example.

Next issue · October 1, 2026

We will cover the September 15 and September 30 record-date behavior across the complex, any change to the STRC rate, and whether buyback activity extends beyond STRC.